Saturday, February 27, 2016

Bul 2

In Bul, you can take two turns! Using the odds we calculated yesterday, we can figure out the odds of how far you'll move, on any given turn.

For example, the odds of you moving two spaces is 16/256, because it's a 4/16 chance that you'll roll a one twice. The odds of you moving three spaces is higher, because you've got a 24/256 chance of rolling a one, then a two, AND a 24/256 chance of rolling a two, then a one. Here are the totals...

The odds of you moving 2 spaces is 16/256 or 6.3%.
The odds of you moving 3 spaces is 48/256 or 18.8%.
The odds of you moving 4 spaces is 68/256 or 26.6%.
The odds of you moving 5 spaces is 56/256 or 21.9%.
The odds of you moving 6 spaces is 36/256 or 14.1%.
The odds of you moving 7 spaces is 20/256 or 7.8%.
The odds of you moving 8 spaces is 9/256 or 3.5%.
The odds of you moving 9 spaces is 2/256 or 0.8%
The odds of you moving 10 spaces is 1/256 or 0.4%.

Of course, you have to roll at least once per turn, while playing Bul.

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